Why now
The cost of lying fell.
The cost of checking did not.
Framing: False claims are cheap to make and fast to spread. Public money moves through more systems than any audit team reads. The tools to check both have not kept pace.FramingOur reading of the problem; the four figures below are the measurements.
Four published figuresQuoted as the sources state them
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The rank of misinformation and disinformation among all two-year global risks, after first place in 2024 and 2025.
World Economic Forum, Global Risks Report 2026 (opens the source)
No. 2
Its rank of ten in 2026; dashed, its rank in 2024 and 2025.
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World military expenditure in 2025, up 2.9% in real terms and rising for the eleventh straight year.
$2,887bn
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Global public procurement, roughly 12% of world GDP.
World Bank (Bosio and Djankov, 2020), 2018 data (opens the source)
$11tn
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Of procurement budgets that corruption and fraud may amount to.
UNODC estimate, via Transparency International (opens the source)
10–25%
Sources are named on each rowEach checked against its source, 27 September 2026
- Published figures
- Four, quoted exactly as their sources give them
- First buyers
- States: communication offices, security agencies, finance departments
- Next buyers
- Researchers, risk analysts and fact-checkers
- The opening
- Framing: Sovereign deploymentFramingOur reading of the market, not a measurement.
State buyers come first.
Each engagement starts narrow: one ministry, one agency or one department, and one result it can defend.
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Communication
Government communication offices
- What they need
- Catch false claims early and publish a record citizens can check
- Product
- Pramaan
- First engagement
- One ministry or one election cycle
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Security
Defence and home ministries, security councils
- What they need
- One assessed picture across agency holdings
- Product
- Arctus
- First engagement
- One agency, after integration and accreditation
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Finance and audit
Finance departments, treasuries, auditors
- What they need
- Stop leakage before payment, with evidence an auditor accepts
- Product
- Polity
- First engagement
- One department and one proven number
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Development finance
Multilaterals and development banks
- What they need
- Leakage and narrative risk around funded programmes
- First engagement
- One programme or country office
The same record serves the people who watch the state.
A finding built to survive a government’s scrutiny is one a researcher can cite and a reader can check.
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Think tanks and research institutes
Sourced narrative datasets on India’s border and neighbourhood coverage, citable in published work.
Datasets
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Geopolitical and political risk analysts
Early alerts on coordinated campaigns, each with a confidence level, by seat or by API into existing models.
Seats and API
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Journalists and fact-checkers
A provenance chain and document trail for each claim, which readers can check for themselves.
Pramaan records
Pick the warning you can least afford to read late.
A briefing matches the product to your mandate and sets out what a pilot inside your own network would measure.
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